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Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in South Dakota?

Midwest · Very cold (e.g. northern New England, Mountain West, Upper Plains) · EIA residential fuel prices

For a reference 2,000 sq ft home in South Dakota (assumed seasonal COP 2, 95% gas furnace), a heat pump costs about $1,592/year to run versus about $1,254/year for natural gas — so a heat pump is about $338/yr more than a gas furnace. It is cheaper than propane ($1,972/yr), cheaper than heating oil ($2,899/yr), and far cheaper than electric resistance ($3,183/yr). The cheapest option here is natural gas furnace (95% afue). These are estimates — verify with an HVAC pro.

Source: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (residential). Data as of June 2026.

South Dakota residential fuel prices

FuelResidential priceSource / period
Electricity (residential)14.29¢/kWhEIA, March 2026
Natural gas (residential)$1.567/therm (US avg)EIA, March 2026
Heating oil (residential)$4.491/galEIA, Midwest (PADD 2)
Propane (residential)$2.184/galEIA, Midwest (PADD 2)

Source: EIA (electricity, natural gas, heating oil & propane). Data as of June 2026.

EIA did not publish a March 2026 residential natural-gas price for South Dakota; the U.S. average of $16.25/Mcf is used and flagged. Heating oil and propane are EIA residential prices for Midwest (PADD 2) (Week ending 2026-03-30) — EIA does not publish these per individual state.

Annual heating cost in South Dakota — every system compared

Reference: a 2,000 sq ft home in a very cold (e.g. northern new england, mountain west, upper plains), roughly 76 MMBTU/year of useful heat. Energy cost only (no equipment, install or maintenance):

Heating systemAnnual energy costAnnual use
Natural gas furnace (95% AFUE)$1,254/yr800 therms
Heat pump$1,592/yr11,137 kWh
Propane furnace (92% AFUE)$1,972/yr903 gal
Heating oil (85% AFUE)$2,899/yr646 gal
Electric resistance (baseboard, COP 1.0)$3,183/yr22,274 kWh

Source: EIA fuel prices + ENERGY STAR energy conversions. Data as of June 2026.

Cheapest to run in this reference case: Natural gas furnace (95% AFUE). Run your own home size, COP and prices.

Heat pump vs each fuel in South Dakota

South Dakota, reference 2,000 sq ft home, seasonal COP 2. Positive = heat pump cheaper to run. Estimate.
ComparisonHeat pumpOther systemHeat-pump result
vs natural gas (95% AFUE)$1,592$1,254$338/yr more
vs propane (92% AFUE)$1,592$1,972Saves $380/yr
vs heating oil (85% AFUE)$1,592$2,899Saves $1,308/yr
vs electric resistance (COP 1.0)$1,592$3,183Saves $1,592/yr

How South Dakota compares with similar states

The five states with the closest electricity price to South Dakota, and how heat-pump-vs-gas savings look there:

Nearest-rate peers of South Dakota. Source: EIA. Reference 2,000 sq ft home.
StateElectricity ¢/kWhHeat-pump vs gas (ref. home)
South Dakota (this state)14.29¢$338/yr more
Washington14.40¢Saves $51/yr
Nevada14.17¢$45/yr more
Louisiana14.16¢Saves $56/yr
New Mexico14.81¢$24/yr more
Florida14.86¢Saves $46/yr

Frequently asked questions

Is a heat pump cheaper to run than gas in South Dakota?

Not in this reference case. For a 2,000 sq ft home in South Dakota (assumed seasonal COP 2, 95% gas furnace), a heat pump costs about $1,592/year vs about $1,254/year for gas, because South Dakota has relatively cheap natural gas. A heat pump is still typically cheaper than propane, oil and electric resistance here.

What does it cost to heat a home in South Dakota?

Using EIA March 2026 prices and a 2,000 sq ft home in a very cold (e.g. northern new england, mountain west, upper plains) (about 76 MMBTU/yr), estimated annual energy cost is about: heat pump $1,592, natural gas $1,254, propane $1,972, heating oil $2,899, electric resistance $3,183. The cheapest here is natural gas furnace (95% afue).

Is a heat pump cheaper than propane or heating oil in South Dakota?

In this reference case, vs propane a heat pump saves about $380/year, and vs heating oil it saves about $1,308/year. Heat pumps usually beat both delivered fuels comfortably because they deliver far more heat per unit of energy.

How does South Dakota rank for heat-pump savings?

On heat-pump savings vs a gas furnace (reference 2,000 sq ft home), South Dakota ranks #31 of 51 states (1 = saves the most). This reflects South Dakota's mix of 14.29¢/kWh electricity and US-average gas.

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Sources & accuracy

Electricity: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (residential) (March 2026); natural gas: EIA residential price (March 2026); heating oil & propane: EIA Heating Oil and Propane Update (Midwest (PADD 2), Week ending 2026-03-30); energy constants: ENERGY STAR Thermal Energy Conversions. All U.S. public domain. These are statewide/regional averages and the comparison is an estimate, not a quote or engineering analysis. Actual savings depend on your home, climate, equipment and rates. Verify with an HVAC professional. See methodology and disclaimer.

Last updated: 2026-06-29