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Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in Montana?

West · Very cold (e.g. northern New England, Mountain West, Upper Plains) · EIA residential fuel prices

For a reference 2,000 sq ft home in Montana (assumed seasonal COP 2, 95% gas furnace), a heat pump costs about $1,501/year to run versus about $654/year for natural gas — so a heat pump is about $848/yr more than a gas furnace. It is cheaper than propane ($2,046/yr), cheaper than heating oil ($2,899/yr), and far cheaper than electric resistance ($3,003/yr). The cheapest option here is natural gas furnace (95% afue). These are estimates — verify with an HVAC pro.

Source: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (residential). Data as of June 2026.

Montana residential fuel prices

FuelResidential priceSource / period
Electricity (residential)13.48¢/kWhEIA, March 2026
Natural gas (residential)$0.817/thermEIA, March 2026
Heating oil (residential)$4.491/galEIA, Rocky Mountain (PADD 4)
Propane (residential)$2.266/galEIA, Rocky Mountain (PADD 4)

Source: EIA (electricity, natural gas, heating oil & propane). Data as of June 2026.

Montana residential natural gas is $8.47/Mcf (about $0.817/therm), EIA March 2026. Heating oil and propane are EIA residential prices for Rocky Mountain (PADD 4) (Week ending 2026-03-30) — EIA does not publish these per individual state.

Annual heating cost in Montana — every system compared

Reference: a 2,000 sq ft home in a very cold (e.g. northern new england, mountain west, upper plains), roughly 76 MMBTU/year of useful heat. Energy cost only (no equipment, install or maintenance):

Heating systemAnnual energy costAnnual use
Natural gas furnace (95% AFUE)$654/yr800 therms
Heat pump$1,501/yr11,137 kWh
Propane furnace (92% AFUE)$2,046/yr903 gal
Heating oil (85% AFUE)$2,899/yr646 gal
Electric resistance (baseboard, COP 1.0)$3,003/yr22,274 kWh

Source: EIA fuel prices + ENERGY STAR energy conversions. Data as of June 2026.

Cheapest to run in this reference case: Natural gas furnace (95% AFUE). Run your own home size, COP and prices.

Heat pump vs each fuel in Montana

Montana, reference 2,000 sq ft home, seasonal COP 2. Positive = heat pump cheaper to run. Estimate.
ComparisonHeat pumpOther systemHeat-pump result
vs natural gas (95% AFUE)$1,501$654$848/yr more
vs propane (92% AFUE)$1,501$2,046Saves $545/yr
vs heating oil (85% AFUE)$1,501$2,899Saves $1,398/yr
vs electric resistance (COP 1.0)$1,501$3,003Saves $1,501/yr

How Montana compares with similar states

The five states with the closest electricity price to Montana, and how heat-pump-vs-gas savings look there:

Nearest-rate peers of Montana. Source: EIA. Reference 2,000 sq ft home.
StateElectricity ¢/kWhHeat-pump vs gas (ref. home)
Montana (this state)13.48¢$848/yr more
Missouri13.44¢Saves $69/yr
Iowa13.42¢$236/yr more
Oklahoma13.56¢Saves $83/yr
Wyoming13.59¢$677/yr more
Arkansas13.63¢Saves $384/yr

Frequently asked questions

Is a heat pump cheaper to run than gas in Montana?

Not in this reference case. For a 2,000 sq ft home in Montana (assumed seasonal COP 2, 95% gas furnace), a heat pump costs about $1,501/year vs about $654/year for gas, because Montana has relatively cheap natural gas. A heat pump is still typically cheaper than propane, oil and electric resistance here.

What does it cost to heat a home in Montana?

Using EIA March 2026 prices and a 2,000 sq ft home in a very cold (e.g. northern new england, mountain west, upper plains) (about 76 MMBTU/yr), estimated annual energy cost is about: heat pump $1,501, natural gas $654, propane $2,046, heating oil $2,899, electric resistance $3,003. The cheapest here is natural gas furnace (95% afue).

Is a heat pump cheaper than propane or heating oil in Montana?

In this reference case, vs propane a heat pump saves about $545/year, and vs heating oil it saves about $1,398/year. Heat pumps usually beat both delivered fuels comfortably because they deliver far more heat per unit of energy.

How does Montana rank for heat-pump savings?

On heat-pump savings vs a gas furnace (reference 2,000 sq ft home), Montana ranks #43 of 51 states (1 = saves the most). This reflects Montana's mix of 13.48¢/kWh electricity and $0.817/therm gas.

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Sources & accuracy

Electricity: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (residential) (March 2026); natural gas: EIA residential price (March 2026); heating oil & propane: EIA Heating Oil and Propane Update (Rocky Mountain (PADD 4), Week ending 2026-03-30); energy constants: ENERGY STAR Thermal Energy Conversions. All U.S. public domain. These are statewide/regional averages and the comparison is an estimate, not a quote or engineering analysis. Actual savings depend on your home, climate, equipment and rates. Verify with an HVAC professional. See methodology and disclaimer.

Last updated: 2026-06-29