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Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in Florida?

South · Hot / mild (e.g. Gulf South, Southwest) · EIA residential fuel prices

For a reference 2,000 sq ft home in Florida (assumed seasonal COP 3.2, 95% gas furnace), a heat pump costs about $218/year to run versus about $264/year for natural gas — so a heat pump is cheaper to run than a gas furnace by about $46/yr. It is cheaper than propane ($668/yr), cheaper than heating oil ($701/yr), and far cheaper than electric resistance ($697/yr). The cheapest option here is heat pump. These are estimates — verify with an HVAC pro.

Source: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (residential). Data as of June 2026.

Florida residential fuel prices

FuelResidential priceSource / period
Electricity (residential)14.86¢/kWhEIA, March 2026
Natural gas (residential)$1.567/therm (US avg)EIA, March 2026
Heating oil (residential)$5.156/galEIA, Lower Atlantic (PADD 1C)
Propane (residential)$3.512/galEIA, Lower Atlantic (PADD 1C)

Source: EIA (electricity, natural gas, heating oil & propane). Data as of June 2026.

EIA did not publish a March 2026 residential natural-gas price for Florida; the U.S. average of $16.25/Mcf is used and flagged. Heating oil and propane are EIA residential prices for Lower Atlantic (PADD 1C) (Week ending 2026-03-30) — EIA does not publish these per individual state.

Annual heating cost in Florida — every system compared

Reference: a 2,000 sq ft home in a hot / mild (e.g. gulf south, southwest), roughly 16 MMBTU/year of useful heat. Energy cost only (no equipment, install or maintenance):

Heating systemAnnual energy costAnnual use
Heat pump$218/yr1,465 kWh
Natural gas furnace (95% AFUE)$264/yr168 therms
Propane furnace (92% AFUE)$668/yr190 gal
Electric resistance (baseboard, COP 1.0)$697/yr4,689 kWh
Heating oil (85% AFUE)$701/yr136 gal

Source: EIA fuel prices + ENERGY STAR energy conversions. Data as of June 2026.

Cheapest to run in this reference case: Heat pump. Run your own home size, COP and prices.

Heat pump vs each fuel in Florida

Florida, reference 2,000 sq ft home, seasonal COP 3.2. Positive = heat pump cheaper to run. Estimate.
ComparisonHeat pumpOther systemHeat-pump result
vs natural gas (95% AFUE)$218$264Saves $46/yr
vs propane (92% AFUE)$218$668Saves $450/yr
vs heating oil (85% AFUE)$218$701Saves $483/yr
vs electric resistance (COP 1.0)$218$697Saves $479/yr

How Florida compares with similar states

The five states with the closest electricity price to Florida, and how heat-pump-vs-gas savings look there:

Nearest-rate peers of Florida. Source: EIA. Reference 2,000 sq ft home.
StateElectricity ¢/kWhHeat-pump vs gas (ref. home)
Florida (this state)14.86¢Saves $46/yr
Kentucky14.88¢Saves $138/yr
Oregon14.89¢Saves $96/yr
New Mexico14.81¢$24/yr more
Georgia15.01¢Saves $79/yr
Minnesota15.08¢$574/yr more

Frequently asked questions

Is a heat pump cheaper to run than gas in Florida?

Yes, in this reference case. For a 2,000 sq ft home in Florida (assumed seasonal COP 3.2, 95% gas furnace), a heat pump costs about $218/year vs about $264/year for gas - a saving of roughly $46/year. Your result depends on your home, equipment and the actual winter.

What does it cost to heat a home in Florida?

Using EIA March 2026 prices and a 2,000 sq ft home in a hot / mild (e.g. gulf south, southwest) (about 16 MMBTU/yr), estimated annual energy cost is about: heat pump $218, natural gas $264, propane $668, heating oil $701, electric resistance $697. The cheapest here is heat pump.

Is a heat pump cheaper than propane or heating oil in Florida?

In this reference case, vs propane a heat pump saves about $450/year, and vs heating oil it saves about $483/year. Heat pumps usually beat both delivered fuels comfortably because they deliver far more heat per unit of energy.

How does Florida rank for heat-pump savings?

On heat-pump savings vs a gas furnace (reference 2,000 sq ft home), Florida ranks #13 of 51 states (1 = saves the most). This reflects Florida's mix of 14.86¢/kWh electricity and US-average gas.

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Sources & accuracy

Electricity: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (residential) (March 2026); natural gas: EIA residential price (March 2026); heating oil & propane: EIA Heating Oil and Propane Update (Lower Atlantic (PADD 1C), Week ending 2026-03-30); energy constants: ENERGY STAR Thermal Energy Conversions. All U.S. public domain. These are statewide/regional averages and the comparison is an estimate, not a quote or engineering analysis. Actual savings depend on your home, climate, equipment and rates. Verify with an HVAC professional. See methodology and disclaimer.

Last updated: 2026-06-29