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Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in Alaska?

West · Very cold (e.g. northern New England, Mountain West, Upper Plains) · EIA residential fuel prices

For a reference 2,000 sq ft home in Alaska (assumed seasonal COP 2, 95% gas furnace), a heat pump costs about $3,026/year to run versus about $1,000/year for natural gas — so a heat pump is about $2,026/yr more than a gas furnace. It is more expensive than propane ($2,644/yr), cheaper than heating oil ($3,329/yr), and far cheaper than electric resistance ($6,052/yr). The cheapest option here is natural gas furnace (95% afue). These are estimates — verify with an HVAC pro.

Source: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (residential). Data as of June 2026.

Alaska residential fuel prices

FuelResidential priceSource / period
Electricity (residential)27.17¢/kWhEIA, March 2026
Natural gas (residential)$1.25/thermEIA, March 2026
Heating oil (residential)$5.156/galEIA, West Coast (PADD 5)
Propane (residential)$2.929/galEIA, West Coast (PADD 5)

Source: EIA (electricity, natural gas, heating oil & propane). Data as of June 2026.

Alaska residential natural gas is $12.96/Mcf (about $1.25/therm), EIA March 2026. Heating oil and propane are EIA residential prices for West Coast (PADD 5) (Week ending 2026-03-30) — EIA does not publish these per individual state.

Annual heating cost in Alaska — every system compared

Reference: a 2,000 sq ft home in a very cold (e.g. northern new england, mountain west, upper plains), roughly 76 MMBTU/year of useful heat. Energy cost only (no equipment, install or maintenance):

Heating systemAnnual energy costAnnual use
Natural gas furnace (95% AFUE)$1,000/yr800 therms
Propane furnace (92% AFUE)$2,644/yr903 gal
Heat pump$3,026/yr11,137 kWh
Heating oil (85% AFUE)$3,329/yr646 gal
Electric resistance (baseboard, COP 1.0)$6,052/yr22,274 kWh

Source: EIA fuel prices + ENERGY STAR energy conversions. Data as of June 2026.

Cheapest to run in this reference case: Natural gas furnace (95% AFUE). Run your own home size, COP and prices.

Heat pump vs each fuel in Alaska

Alaska, reference 2,000 sq ft home, seasonal COP 2. Positive = heat pump cheaper to run. Estimate.
ComparisonHeat pumpOther systemHeat-pump result
vs natural gas (95% AFUE)$3,026$1,000$2,026/yr more
vs propane (92% AFUE)$3,026$2,644$382/yr more
vs heating oil (85% AFUE)$3,026$3,329Saves $303/yr
vs electric resistance (COP 1.0)$3,026$6,052Saves $3,026/yr

How Alaska compares with similar states

The five states with the closest electricity price to Alaska, and how heat-pump-vs-gas savings look there:

Nearest-rate peers of Alaska. Source: EIA. Reference 2,000 sq ft home.
StateElectricity ¢/kWhHeat-pump vs gas (ref. home)
Alaska (this state)27.17¢$2,026/yr more
New Hampshire26.92¢$1,357/yr more
Maine28.32¢$1,900/yr more
New York28.55¢$878/yr more
District of Columbia25.00¢$284/yr more
Rhode Island29.91¢$1,122/yr more

Frequently asked questions

Is a heat pump cheaper to run than gas in Alaska?

Not in this reference case. For a 2,000 sq ft home in Alaska (assumed seasonal COP 2, 95% gas furnace), a heat pump costs about $3,026/year vs about $1,000/year for gas, because Alaska has relatively high electricity prices. A heat pump is still typically cheaper than propane, oil and electric resistance here.

What does it cost to heat a home in Alaska?

Using EIA March 2026 prices and a 2,000 sq ft home in a very cold (e.g. northern new england, mountain west, upper plains) (about 76 MMBTU/yr), estimated annual energy cost is about: heat pump $3,026, natural gas $1,000, propane $2,644, heating oil $3,329, electric resistance $6,052. The cheapest here is natural gas furnace (95% afue).

Is a heat pump cheaper than propane or heating oil in Alaska?

In this reference case, vs propane it runs about $382/year more, and vs heating oil it saves about $303/year. Heat pumps usually beat both delivered fuels comfortably because they deliver far more heat per unit of energy.

How does Alaska rank for heat-pump savings?

On heat-pump savings vs a gas furnace (reference 2,000 sq ft home), Alaska ranks #51 of 51 states (1 = saves the most). This reflects Alaska's mix of 27.17¢/kWh electricity and $1.25/therm gas.

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Sources & accuracy

Electricity: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (residential) (March 2026); natural gas: EIA residential price (March 2026); heating oil & propane: EIA Heating Oil and Propane Update (West Coast (PADD 5), Week ending 2026-03-30); energy constants: ENERGY STAR Thermal Energy Conversions. All U.S. public domain. These are statewide/regional averages and the comparison is an estimate, not a quote or engineering analysis. Actual savings depend on your home, climate, equipment and rates. Verify with an HVAC professional. See methodology and disclaimer.

Last updated: 2026-06-29